Another hot day in Texas before the rain and cold air arrives!
Temperatures are expected to set record highs again today in several areas of Texas, but we’re about to start diving back into the temperature roller coaster.
Temperatures are expected to rise into the 80s and 90s this afternoon with fresh southerly winds. The threat of fast-moving grass fires will be high, especially across the western third of Texas. Cloud cover is expected to increase from the southwest as sunset approaches.
A cold front will begin moving south into Texas this evening and will reach the entire state by midnight Friday. Temperatures will drop into the 40s and 50s with gusty north winds after the front arrives. Thursday will be a cold and wet day in the northwestern half of Texas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along and behind the front across two-thirds of southeast Texas Thursday into Thursday night. Severe storms (large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes) are unlikely. Some rain may be heavy, with minor local flooding.
Rain chances will be limited to the southeastern third of Texas on Friday, and rounds of rain will continue on Saturday and Sunday. The highest rainfall totals appear to be in the Rio Grande Plains, deep south Texas, the Rio Grande Valley, up to Coast Bend, the central Texas coast, and the coastal plains. Two to four inches of rain are likely in those areas by Monday morning. Relatively lighter rain is expected farther north, with more than a quarter-inch of rain expected across two-thirds of Southeast Texas from rain tomorrow through Sunday night.
Temperatures Thursday through Monday will be more suitable for November in Texas, with highs in the 50s and 60s. This cold front certainly won’t be on par with the Arctic preview from ten days ago, so even though it’s going to be cold — it’ll be the “cold” we Southerners expect for the two weeks before Thanksgiving — not the lows in the 10s and 20s. . .
Weather models start throwing virtual fists as we head into Sunday and Monday night. Some weather models are bringing another round of widespread rain westward into Texas, while others are indicating nothing more than isolated light showers. We’ll watch the models battle it out in subsequent data runs to see which solution will take hold.
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