A somewhat subjective assessment of today’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
Capital Region Forecast: Heavy but welcome rain today

The calm weather should continue through Black Friday, but the weekend could see some increase in cloud cover, cooler weather and possibly a period of rain.
today is Tuesday): Rain will develop this morning from the southwest to the northeast. Rain may be moderate to heavy at times this afternoon and into the evening, so allow extra time for trekking. Highs range from the upper 40s in the northwest areas to the mid 50s southeast of Beltway. Winds are east at 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 to 35 mph, making the weather even colder. Confidence: medium-high
Tonight: The rain continues until the evening hours and ends late at night. It is mostly cloudy and breezy after the rain ends. Winds blow from the south then southwest at 5 to 15 miles per hour, with gusts ranging from 20 to 25 miles per hour at times. Confidence: medium-high
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tomorrow is Wednesday): Breezy conditions continue with a mix of clouds and sun. Highs range from the mid 50s to low 60s. Winds will blow from the northwest at 10 to 20 miles per hour, with gusts reaching 25 to 30 miles per hour at times. Confidence: medium-high
Tomorrow night: It will be mostly partly cloudy and still breezy with lows in the lower 30s in the outer suburbs to lower to middle 40s in the city. Confidence: medium-high
Thanksgiving Thursday We should finally see mostly sunny skies with highs reaching a few degrees toward 55. It may be a bit breezy, but overall it’s a typical late November day. Thursday night features mostly clear skies with lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Confidence: high
Friday The weather looks mostly sunny in the morning, but we could turn partly cloudy in the afternoon with highs ranging from around 50 degrees in our cooler suburbs to the mid-50s in the city. Friday night is also on the partly cloudy side with lows hovering in the 30s. Confidence: average
the last weekend November tends to be colder than usual. Saturday sees highs in the 40s to near 50. After lows in the 30s to low 40s, Sunday should be milder with highs likely to exceed 50 in most areas. Developing low pressure to the south could bring rain for a while, but the timing is uncertain, and models have backed off this possibility. Confidence: low-medium