Capital Region Forecast: Welcome rain Tuesday, then dry for Thanksgiving

today is Monday): After a beautiful, sun-filled Sunday, the clouds are increasing and it’s 10 degrees cooler. Highs struggle to reach 50 degrees. Winds are north at about 10 mph. Confidence: medium-high

Tonight: The sky is mostly cloudy and the weather is fairly cold. Lows range from mid 30s to around 40 (downtown). Confidence: medium-high

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Tomorrow (Tuesday): We wake up to overcast skies and rain developing after a long while. It may be cold enough (in the 30s) for rain to briefly mix with sleet in our cooler areas. The rain increases in intensity during the afternoon when highlands struggle to reach 50 mph. It will be breezy with east winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph during the afternoon. Confidence: medium-high

Tomorrow night: The rain may be heavy through the evening (plan a slow drive) before tapering off after midnight. Storm totals should be between 1 and 2 inches wide. Gusty winds shift from southeast to west late at night, sometimes reaching 30 mph. Low temperatures in the 40s. Confidence: medium-high

We will have good looking weather Wednesday and Thanksgiving. Both days will be dry with highs mostly in the 50s to 55s. Wednesday will likely feature more cloud cover and be on the windier side compared to Thanksgiving. Wednesday and Thursday nights will be cool with lows in the 30s. Confidence: medium-high

Clouds may increase some Friday As a storm system develops to our south. It’s unclear whether this storm will come far enough north to bring us rain or stay to the southeast. If there is rain, most of it will likely fall Friday night. Highs in the low 50s Friday and lows near 40 Friday night. Confidence: low-medium

There is a slight chance of rain early Saturday, otherwise it will be dry and cool for the season weekend. The highs on both days are very close to 50, with the lows in the 30s. Confidence: average