February 11, showers and snow until Tuesday in the north

February 11, showers and snow until Tuesday in the north

February 11, 2024

Sunday morning update

It’s Super Bowl Sunday, and if you have plans to travel for a viewing party, the good news is that the weather shouldn’t be an issue locally. We expect rain today, but mostly showers, with persistent rain in southern Maryland…mostly ending by evening. Some intermittent showers may continue tonight, but with minor details.

I’ve included a Live Radar widget to track the rain…

If you’re coming here looking for snow on a Tuesday morning to bring you the gift of a day off from school or work, I hope you live from central Pennsylvania to New York and New England. This is where it will happen.

The mid-Atlantic home base area centered around Baltimore will miss this. That’s always been my expectation, but it looks like even the northern suburbs might not get much either. lets take alook.

Morning temperatures

Already a mild start, thanks to the cloud cover.

Live radar widget

Morning surface weather

A very active storm pattern is along this frontal boundary. The main source area is in Texas, with cooler air to the north… but not quite able to reach our area in time.

Today, a wave of low pressure follows persistent rain into southern Maryland and south.

Tomorrow, the next wave of low pressure will approach, but cold air will advance into the mountains of central Pennsylvania, New York, and New England.

February 11 Stormy weather Sunday morning

Radar simulation

From 10 am to 10 pm

Midday showers in central Maryland. Continuous rain in the south…

This should be gone by the evening, but some remaining sprays may return tonight.

Weather Radar February 11 Rain Sunday

Shot at 1pm

Weather Radar February 11 Rain Sunday at 1 p.m

Afternoon temperatures

Weather temperatures February 11 Sunday afternoon

Climatic data: Baltimore

Today is February 11th

Sunrise at 7:04 AM

Sunset at 5:39 p.m

Natural decline in Baltimore: 26 degrees Fahrenheit

Record -6°F in 1899

Normal high in Baltimore: 45 degrees Fahrenheit

Record high of 72 degrees Fahrenheit 1887

Seasonal snow at BWI

9.1 inches

Recent snow reports

January 19 Recap

Click here for maps and full report

January 19 Snow spotters in NWS Maryland and Virginia

January 16 snow report

Click here or the map to see: Snow report ending January 16

Snow report for January 16 in Maryland, Virginia

Monday weather

Temperatures: remain above freezing.

Morning temperatures

Weather temperatures February 11 Monday morning

Afternoon temperatures

Weather temperatures for February 11 on Monday afternoon

This storm will follow a northerly direction

Most of this event will be rainy for us, arriving in the evening into Tuesday morning. There may be some snow mixing in the far northern suburbs… and regardless of whether you see snow or not, the impact area will be in central Pennsylvania.

Storm animation

It seems that the original solution of the European model is close to the currently accepted result.

Monday afternoon to Tuesday evening

Weather forecast for the February 11 storm on Monday Tuesday

Tuesday 7am snapshot:

ECMW F model

February 11 Snow Weather Tuesday ECMWF

GFS model

February 11 Snow Weather Tuesday GFS

Temperatures: Tuesday morning

Weather temperatures February 11 Tuesday morning

Winter storm watch

A winter storm watch remains appropriate. I doubt there will be much to talk about south of Harrisburg other than a few snow showers by the time this is over.

February 10 Winter Storm Watch Tuesday

NOAA’s forecast is cooler

Tuesday night, I wrote this report explaining the change in pattern. Click on this map or here for more…

The weather forecast for February 6 is cold

7 day forecast

A quick look after seeing the loss of snow…

Temperatures will be near or slightly below average this week. We lack arctic air.

The next chance for snow or a mix of snow may be next weekend.

Weather forecast for February 11, 7 days, Sunday

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Explore more

History of Maryland’s snow climate and other winter pages

School STEM Assemblies/Field Trips are back

Click to see more and ‘book’ a visit to your school

Latest winter forecast reports:

My winter forecast: more snow

Snow forecast for winter 2024

He doesn’t even do thatno Winter updates

Late November: Warm waters shifting westward in the Pacific Ocean could mean more snow in the eastern United States

El Nino Sea Surface Temperatures November 22

Computer models support the East Coast storm track

El Nino CFSv2 winter precipitation model

El Niño warning

NOAA’s latest report is confident that a very strong event will occur. Maybe historical! This refers to temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, with implications for the track of the winter storm in the United States.

El Niño November 2023

Winter Weather Folklore: The 20 Best and More Nature’s References to Snow.

NOAA Winter 2024 Forecast

The 2024 winter forecast from farmers’ calendars returns cold and snow

Please share your thoughts and best weather photos/videos, or just stay in touch via social media

Paraphrasing my post about dyslexia

I know there are some spelling, grammar mistakes, and other glitches sometimes. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even computer errors that I may have overlooked. I’ve made a few public statements over the years, but if you’re new here, you might have missed it: I have dyslexia and discovered it during my sophomore year at Cornell. This did not stop me from obtaining my degree in meteorology and being the first to obtain an AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington area. One of my teachers told me that I had come this far without knowing it and to not let it be a crutch to move forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely right! I miss my mistakes in my proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does it unfairly which makes matters worse. I can also make forecasting errors. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All maps and information are accurate. “Verbal” things can get sticky. There was no editor who could check my work When I need it And have it ready to send on a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team who helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to correct typos when available. It could be after reading this. I accept this and perhaps it will prove that what you read is truly from me…it’s part of my magic. #FITF

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