February 11, showers and snow until Tuesday in the north
February 11, 2024
Sunday morning update
It’s Super Bowl Sunday, and if you have plans to travel for a viewing party, the good news is that the weather shouldn’t be an issue locally. We expect rain today, but mostly showers, with persistent rain in southern Maryland…mostly ending by evening. Some intermittent showers may continue tonight, but with minor details.
I’ve included a Live Radar widget to track the rain…
If you’re coming here looking for snow on a Tuesday morning to bring you the gift of a day off from school or work, I hope you live from central Pennsylvania to New York and New England. This is where it will happen.
The mid-Atlantic home base area centered around Baltimore will miss this. That’s always been my expectation, but it looks like even the northern suburbs might not get much either. lets take alook.
Already a mild start, thanks to the cloud cover.
Live radar widget
Morning surface weather
A very active storm pattern is along this frontal boundary. The main source area is in Texas, with cooler air to the north… but not quite able to reach our area in time.
Today, a wave of low pressure follows persistent rain into southern Maryland and south.
Tomorrow, the next wave of low pressure will approach, but cold air will advance into the mountains of central Pennsylvania, New York, and New England.
From 10 am to 10 pm
Midday showers in central Maryland. Continuous rain in the south…
This should be gone by the evening, but some remaining sprays may return tonight.
Shot at 1pm
Climatic data: Baltimore
Today is February 11th
Sunrise at 7:04 AM
Sunset at 5:39 p.m
Natural decline in Baltimore: 26 degrees Fahrenheit
Record -6°F in 1899
Normal high in Baltimore: 45 degrees Fahrenheit
Record high of 72 degrees Fahrenheit 1887
Seasonal snow at BWI
Recent snow reports
January 19 Recap
Click here for maps and full report
January 16 snow report
Click here or the map to see: Snow report ending January 16
Temperatures: remain above freezing.
This storm will follow a northerly direction
Most of this event will be rainy for us, arriving in the evening into Tuesday morning. There may be some snow mixing in the far northern suburbs… and regardless of whether you see snow or not, the impact area will be in central Pennsylvania.
It seems that the original solution of the European model is close to the currently accepted result.
Monday afternoon to Tuesday evening
Tuesday 7am snapshot:
ECMW F model
Temperatures: Tuesday morning
Winter storm watch
A winter storm watch remains appropriate. I doubt there will be much to talk about south of Harrisburg other than a few snow showers by the time this is over.
NOAA’s forecast is cooler
Tuesday night, I wrote this report explaining the change in pattern. Click on this map or here for more…
7 day forecast
A quick look after seeing the loss of snow…
Temperatures will be near or slightly below average this week. We lack arctic air.
The next chance for snow or a mix of snow may be next weekend.
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History of Maryland’s snow climate and other winter pages
School STEM Assemblies/Field Trips are back
Click to see more and ‘book’ a visit to your school
Latest winter forecast reports:
My winter forecast: more snow
He doesn’t even do thatno Winter updates
Late November: Warm waters shifting westward in the Pacific Ocean could mean more snow in the eastern United States
Computer models support the East Coast storm track
El Niño warning
NOAA’s latest report is confident that a very strong event will occur. Maybe historical! This refers to temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, with implications for the track of the winter storm in the United States.
Winter Weather Folklore: The 20 Best and More Nature’s References to Snow.
NOAA Winter 2024 Forecast
The 2024 winter forecast from farmers’ calendars returns cold and snow
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Paraphrasing my post about dyslexia
I know there are some spelling, grammar mistakes, and other glitches sometimes. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even computer errors that I may have overlooked. I’ve made a few public statements over the years, but if you’re new here, you might have missed it: I have dyslexia and discovered it during my sophomore year at Cornell. This did not stop me from obtaining my degree in meteorology and being the first to obtain an AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington area. One of my teachers told me that I had come this far without knowing it and to not let it be a crutch to move forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely right! I miss my mistakes in my proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does it unfairly which makes matters worse. I can also make forecasting errors. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All maps and information are accurate. “Verbal” things can get sticky. There was no editor who could check my work When I need it And have it ready to send on a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team who helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to correct typos when available. It could be after reading this. I accept this and perhaps it will prove that what you read is truly from me…it’s part of my magic. #FITF