The weather in Alabama will turn rainy on Friday and windy on the weekend. Heavy rains lead to the risk of flash floods on Saturday and Sunday.
Check our video forecast for the latest.
In the short term until Friday
Clouds rolled in on Thursday, blocking out the sun’s rays and keeping it cooler. Those clouds and a light southerly breeze will keep it milder overnight. Expect temperatures to drop into the upper 40s to 50s by Friday morning.
Scattered light rain will begin on Friday morning, but the rain will not fall evenly throughout the state.
The best chance for measurable rain is in the first half of the day over northwest Alabama, but some light, intermittent rain develops during the afternoon and evening as far south as Birmingham and Tuscaloosa.
Influential weather for the weekend
An “impact day” means the weather will disrupt your normal routine, and the disruption comes mainly from heavy rain and some occasional thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday.
Three rounds of heavy rain will inundate Alabama and create a threat of flash flooding. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) identifies a Level 2 flash flood threat for north and central Alabama Saturday morning into Sunday morning.
Here’s what the times look like as of Thursday afternoon:
- first round Mainly affects northwest Alabama and the Tennessee Valley with heavy rain and some thunderstorms from 10 a.m. to 7 p.m. Saturday. Expect about 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain in Marion, Winston, Cullman, Blount, Etowah, Cherokee, Lamar, Fayette and Walker counties by Saturday evening. Very little rain will fall in the Birmingham area until Saturday evening.
- Second round It brings a round of heavy rain across central Alabama, including Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Pell City and Gadsden from about 10 PM Saturday until 6 AM Sunday. Expect approximately 1 to 2 inches of rain in Pickens, Tuscaloosa, Jefferson, Shelby, St. Clair, Calhoun, Talladega and Clay counties by Sunday morning.
- Third round It lasts longer and brings heavier rains than the first two. Showers and thunderstorms develop over Mississippi and southwest Alabama before noon Sunday and spread northeast across central Alabama Sunday evening. Rain will fall almost continuously for 18 hours between Sunday afternoon and midday Monday, and some central Alabama communities could get more than 2 to 3 additional inches.
Rainfall totals could exceed four inches in isolated areas by Monday, but most areas remain between two and three inches.
The weather remains warm and humid on both days of the weekend: highs in the mid to upper 60s and lows in the 50s.
The active stretch ends Monday as a cold front passes through Alabama. This front brings some cold, dry air into the state on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.
Tuesday and Wednesday look a little cooler than “normal” by mid-February standards. We expect highs in the mid 50s on Tuesday and near 60 degrees on Wednesday. Morning lows drop into the low 30s on both days.
Overall, Valentine’s Day looks nice and dry with no real weather issues.
A stronger cold front with some arctic influence will hit next Friday and Saturday.
At this point, it’s a bit difficult to say how cold the weather will get next weekend. The core of Arctic air may still be quite far north due to the “extreme” cold weather in Alabama, but it looks like we’ll see a few nights in the 20s and days with temperatures in the 40s to at least the lower 50s.
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