Maui weather forecast for February 13, 2024: Maui now

Maui weather forecast for February 13, 2024: Maui now

West side

the rest of the day: Mostly sunny with scattered showers. High 73 to 82. West winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Tonight: partly cloudy. Low 62 to 70. Winds light.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Scattered showers in the afternoon. High 72 to 81. South winds 15 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

South side

the rest of the day: Mostly sunny. Scattered showers in the afternoon. High around 82. Light winds. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Low 62 to 69. Winds light.

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Wednesday: Sunny and breezy. High around 80. Southwest wind 10 to 20 mph.

North Beach

the rest of the day: Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Scattered showers. Highs are 76 to 81 near shore to about 66 near 5,000 feet. Light wind. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Tonight: partly cloudy. Lows range from 65 near shore to 45 and 51 near 5,000 feet. Light wind.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. breezy. Scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs are about 79 near shore to about 67 near 5,000 feet. Winds are southwest at 15 mph and will shift to the west in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Central Maui

the rest of the day: Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Scattered showers. High around 81. Light winds. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

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Tonight: Mostly clear. Low 61 to 66. Winds light.

Wednesday: Sunny and breezy. High around 82. Southwest wind 10 to 20 mph.

The country

the rest of the day: Mostly sunny in the morning, then partly sunny with scattered rain and snow in the afternoon. The elevation rises from about 63 at the visitor center to about 57 at the summit. Light wind. Chance of snow is 20 percent.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows are about 46 at the visitor center to about 42 at the summit. Winds are southwesterly up to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny and breezy. The elevation rises from about 64 at the visitor center to about 57 at the summit. Southwest winds up to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

East Maui

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the rest of the day: Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Scattered showers. Highs are 76 to 81 near shore to about 66 near 5,000 feet. Light wind. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Tonight: partly cloudy. Lows range from 65 near shore to 45 and 51 near 5,000 feet. Light wind.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. breezy. Scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs are about 79 near shore to about 67 near 5,000 feet. Winds are southwest at 15 mph and will shift to the west in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Lanai City

the rest of the day: Mostly sunny. Scattered showers in the afternoon. High 69 to 76. Winds light. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Tonight: partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers after midnight. Lows around 61. Light winds. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with scattered showers. High 68 to 75. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Traveling on fours

the rest of the day: Mostly sunny with scattered showers. High 64 to 83. Light winds. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Tonight: partly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening. Lows range from 53 to 68. Winds are light. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with scattered showers. Highs 64 to 82. South winds up to 15 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

summary

Weak lows over the Western Islands will keep light winds in the forecast across land and sea breezes over each island until Wednesday morning. Wind-converging shower bands will also pass into the Western Islands with a brief increase in shower trends on Kauai and Oahu. A cold front will sweep through the island chain Wednesday night into Friday, bringing with it a band of clouds and rain. Cold, moderate to active northerly to northeasterly winds will blow behind this front from Thursday until the end of the week. Moderate to refreshing trade winds will continue during the first half of next week.

discussion

Using a combination of satellite images and local radar images, we see bands of short showers moving across the Western Islands this morning with more stable conditions over Maui and the Big Island. Upper air measurements from 2 a.m. this morning support this analysis with subsidence reflection heights of about 7,000 feet above mean sea level (MSL) at Lihue and about 5,500 feet above MSL at Hilo. These showers are associated with two bands of wind convergence from the remnants of a dissipating cold front. Scattered rain is expected on the western islands of Niihau, Kauai, Oahu and Molokai. There will likely be more isolated shower coverage over Lanai, Maui, and the Big Island today.
Strong winds at the summit of the Big Island have fallen below warning and advisory limits, so the high wind warning for Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa has been canceled this morning.
A weak low north of Hawaii will keep the subtropical ridge weak for another day today. Widespread light winds will allow local land and sea breezes to continue over all islands. Sea breezes during the day will produce clouds and some rain over the island’s mountain and inland sections in the afternoon and early evening hours. Bands of rain over the Western Islands will increase morning cloud trends and showers mainly over Kauai and Oahu.
Farther to the northwest, a larger cloud band visible in satellite images is associated with the next cold front that will sweep across the Western Isles starting Wednesday night. This system will pull clouds and rain across each island as it passes quickly from west to east down the island chain. Expect a 12-hour period of wet weather for each island, followed by cool, moderate to breezy northerly winds after the frontal passage.
High pressure will build quickly behind the front, producing cooler temperatures with moderate to northeasterly winds from Thursday into the weekend. The model routing remains in good agreement with this high-confidence solution. Moderate to refreshing trade winds with downwind precipitation and mountain showers will continue into early next week as a fairly strong high pressure system passes north of the Hawaiian Islands this weekend.

airline

The weak flow system continues again today. Some low-level moisture associated with a weak convergence boundary will lead to increased cloud cover and isolated showers on Oahu and Kauai. Elsewhere, expect mainly dry weather and VFR conditions. A sea breeze developing along coastal areas early this afternoon may help generate scattered showers over the interior of the island.
There are no AIRMETs in effect and none are expected to occur during the forecast period.

Navy

The light and variable winds will continue today, shifting from the southwest tonight, then intensifying to moderate to refreshing during the day on Wednesday as the front approaches. The guidance remains ongoing and this front appears to move through Wednesday night into Thursday, with a ridge moving east in its wake Thursday into Friday. Surface winds will shift quickly from the southwest to the north as the front moves through Wednesday night. These northerly winds may reach the moderate to refreshing range from Thursday to Friday as they gradually deviate from the northeast and shift into the refreshing to strong category this weekend.
Surf along north- and west-facing beaches will remain small through mid-week, with the background moving mainly northwesterly energy for a short period. A large northwesterly wave (320°) associated with a weakening storm will arrive about 2,000 nautical miles northwest of the state late Wednesday night, then build quickly below the island chain through Thursday. This swell will peak late Thursday, then slowly decline from Friday into Saturday. A more compact storm passing through the state to the north from Friday into Saturday will bring a large and moderate northerly swell across the region from Saturday night into Sunday. Expect surf heights to exceed warning levels Thursday through Friday as the northwest swell moves in, then remain above advisory levels for exposed north-facing beaches through the weekend as the northerly swell arrives.
Coastal impacts associated with a swell of this size Thursday through Friday may be significant due to a combination of moderate to fresh northerly (onshore) winds and a peak daily high tide that will likely coincide with peak waves expected Thursday evening in some areas.
Surfing along east-facing shores will start to trend to the upside over the weekend as strong trading returns.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advice

no one.

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Data provided by NOAA.gov

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