Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers prediction, preview, and odds

Miami Heat vs.  Cleveland Cavaliers prediction, preview, and odds

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A pair of Eastern Conference contenders are scheduled to square off on Wednesday night. The Miami Heat (37-31; 32-35-1 ATS) and Cleveland Cavaliers (43-25; 34-34-0 ATS) face off for the third time this season. They split the first two meetings, with the road team winning each time. Considering this game takes place at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, does this bode well for the Heat. And at 7:00 PM EST, the world will find out.

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Miami missing pieces

The Heat are shorthanded at the moment, which has led to five straight losses against non-Pistons opponents. Tyler Herro (knee) and Kevin Love (heel) are out, while Duncan Robinson and Nikola Jovic are doubtful. Health has been an issue for Miami all season, hence why they rank 23rd in offensive rating. The Heat rank 18th in true shooting percentage despite having the second-lowest percentage of field goal attempts at the rim and 23rd in efficiency. This team ranks 24th in offensive rebounding percentage. Miami ranks 11th in turnover percentage and fifth in free throw percentage. Can they get back on track?

Meanwhile, Miami’s defense allowed the fourth-fewest points per contest. They are ninth in defensive rating. The Heat rank 10th in missed threes despite surrendering the most attempts at 24th. This defense ranks 26th at defending the rim, but is second best at deterring opponents from getting there. The Heat have allowed the third-fewest free throw attempts, rank third in defensive rebound percentage, and eighth in turnover percentage this season. Let’s see if they win in Cleveland again.

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Cleveland comes through

Donovan Mitchell (27.4 ppg) He joined Evan Mobley and Max Strus as the Cavs’ main inactives on Monday, though they won anyway. Unfortunately, Mitchell will be out for at least a week, so Cleveland won’t have its leading scorer for this game either. The team is 17th in offensive rating, so that’s bad news. Cleveland ranks 13th in true shooting percentage thanks to solid efficiency from all three scoring levels. The Cavaliers rank 19th in turnover percentage and 22nd in offensive rebound percentage. He ranks 26th in free throw attempts per game. This is a group just trying to collect enough points to win now.

Fortunately, Cleveland is third in defensive rating, so they don’t need to score many points. Their defense allows the sixth-fewest in each contest. The Cavs are a top-10 team at forcing fouls from all three scoring levels. They rank 11th in defensive rebounding percentage and free throw attempts allowed. Cleveland is a mediocre team at forcing turnovers. Can this defense lead the team into next week?

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Best bets for this game

Side bet for the full game

Insider status:

evaluation:


If there’s any silver lining to Donovan Mitchell missing extended periods of time recently, it’s that the team has learned how to survive without him. Cleveland’s defense is ferocious and should give Miami’s offense nightmares all night, especially with Herro out. Along with the misses, the Cavaliers will collect the most defensive rebounding opportunities.

Scoring won’t be easy for Cleveland, but Darius Garland should create and attempt plenty of three-pointers against Miami’s defense. The Heat won’t force as many turnovers as usual against the Cavs. Expect Cleveland to not only win again, but to overcome the deficit against Miami on Wednesday.

Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5

Full game total selection

Insider status:

evaluation:


This total is simply too low. With or without Mitchell, Cleveland is averaging 107.3 points in its last eight games, topping 100 points in each one. The Heat should get Jimmy Butler back in this game, and they are averaging 105.7 points per game in March. Wednesday will be a low scoring day, but not a low 203 total points.

When these two teams met in Cleveland earlier this season, the game ended with a total score of 225 points. The last match had a total of 210 points. This match will follow that trend, passing 203 points. That’s enough to take on the job.

Prediction: over 203

written by
Andre Eiffel, “The Tower”

Watching, playing and talking about sports has always been an essential part of my life. I graduated from the University of Connecticut with a degree in communications, and now, I strive to be an essential voice in sports media for decades to come. You’d be hard pressed to find someone more competitive than me, and that extends to my sports betting predictions as well. We’re all here to win, and my goal is to do that every night while letting my personality shine in the process. I’m honored to be apart of this team.

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