November 15: Slightly warmer weather then a cooler Thanksgiving week

November 15, 2023
Updated Wednesday morning
A southern storm is forming. This is something that may be common this El Niño winter. A slow-moving storm system across the northern Gulf of Mexico will dump rain on Florida, then return to the East Coast.
We will have more clouds especially in southern areas today as a developing storm approaches. But the forecast is not conducive to the rain we need. This will help bring in warmer air for a few days, and then a sharp cold snap will arrive the week of Thanksgiving!
Morning temperatures
Cool seasonal
Morning surface weather
A Gulf Coast storm is responsible for the clouds that spread overnight. There will be more clouds south of Baltimore and less to the north.
Satellite loop from 4am to 6am
Afternoon temperatures
He doesn’t even do thatno Winter updates
Computer models support the East Coast storm track
El Niño warning
NOAA’s latest report is confident that a very strong event will occur. Maybe historical! This refers to temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, with implications for the track of the winter storm in the United States.
Climatic data: Baltimore
Today is November 15th
Sunrise at 6:50 AM
Sunset at 4:52 p.m
Natural decline in Baltimore: 37 degrees Fahrenheit
Record high of 19 degrees Fahrenheit in 1986
Normal high in Baltimore: 58F
Record high of 79 degrees Fahrenheit in 1993
Winter forecast reports:
Winter Weather Folklore: The 20 Best and More Nature’s References to Snow.
NOAA Winter 2024 Forecast
The 2024 winter forecast from farmers’ calendars returns cold and snow
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Temperatures Thursday morning
Thursday afternoon
Storm simulation
Friday afternoon
Friday afternoon to Saturday evening
When a coastal low is seen forming off the east coast of Florida, it is expected to move east and pass us by. A cold front from the west may bring us showers Friday night, but not much to help our growing drought.
Closer view shots
Friday evening
Saturday early morning
Saturday afternoon
Jetstream: Friday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon
The warmer temperatures will begin to fade by Sunday, then the next blast of cold air will pick up the week of Thanksgiving. This could fuel the next storm expected by Wednesday.
Wednesday Snapshot: Even colder!
7 day forecast
Brief rain from Friday night into early Saturday morning. Then cold air arrives Sunday into next week.
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Explore more
History of Maryland’s snow climate and other winter pages
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Paraphrasing my post about dyslexia
I know there are some spelling, grammar mistakes, and other glitches sometimes. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even computer errors that I may have overlooked. I’ve made some general statements over the years, but if you’re new here, you may have missed these: I have dyslexia and discovered it during my second year at Cornell. This did not stop me from obtaining my degree in meteorology and being the first to obtain an AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington area. One of my teachers told me that I had come this far without knowing it and to not let it be a crutch to move forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely right! I miss my mistakes in my proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does it unfairly which makes matters worse. I can also make forecasting errors. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All maps and information are accurate. “Verbal” things can get sticky. There was no editor who could check my work When I need it And have it ready to send on a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team who helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to correct typos when available. It could be after reading this. I accept this and perhaps it will prove that what you read is in fact from me… It’s part of my magic.
#FITF