November 8 – Weather forecast for Shreveport, Texarkana

SHREVEPORT, La. (KTAL/KMSS) – Our streak of warm and dry weather will end soon. A cold front will move through the ArkLaTex on Thursday bringing with it lots of rain and cooler temperatures. Temperatures will return below normal and will likely continue through the first half of next week.

Like warmth? Enjoy it while you can: For the second day in a row, temperatures in Shreveport rose to near record highs. Wednesday’s highs climbed back into the low to mid 80s. A cold front will begin moving into the area late Wednesday night. Ahead of the front, temperatures will remain fairly mild with a dip back into the low to mid 60s. The front will move through the region on Thursday. This will result in a large temperature difference. Highs over the northern portion of the area where the front moves soon will be in the low to middle 60s. In the south, it will be cooler, but temperatures will likely have time to rise into the mid to upper 70s as the front moves through the afternoon.

Prepare for a long period of rain: Futurecast shows that we will see increasing clouds over the ArkLaTex tonight as the front enters the area. Some scattered rain is likely to fall mainly over the northern half of the region closest to the front. Rainfall will increase on Thursday, with the possibility of heavy rain at times. We can hear a little thunder but severe weather is still unlikely. The intensity of the rain will likely decrease somewhat Thursday evening but the rain will still be fairly widespread and begin to shift slightly to the southeast. The rain will continue throughout most of Friday before ending from north to south during the day.

Heavy rain looks promising to many: High-resolution models, including Futurecast, show that much of the region will see some significant rainfall totals. Parts of the area could see two to more than three inches of rain. Here are the latest 48-hour precipitation potential forecasts from Futurecast. As of this writing, a band of heavy rain is visible in the area between Shreveport and Texarkana that includes much of northeast Texas and southwest AR as well as a small portion of northwest Los Angeles. It looks promising that the rest of the area will receive at least 1 inch of rain. Keep in mind that this forecast is not set in stone and we could see some changes in where the heaviest rain eventually falls.

Moderate air return: Colder temperatures will invade the ArkLaTex behind this front. We will likely see daytime highs dip into the 50s starting Friday and possibly Saturday. Overnight lows will drop into the lower 40s and lower 50s. This cold air will continue through the end of this week and the beginning of next week. We will see a warming trend over the latter half of next week with highs returning to the 70s and lows eventually nearing the 60s. More rain is likely next week with a slight chance on Tuesday and a slightly better chance later in the week on Friday and possible next Saturday.