Rain is likely Wednesday, Friday and late this weekend

Parts of the ArkLaTex will see a little rain on Wednesday. Chances are that if you get some, it won’t be much. Relatively high temperatures will continue until a cold front arrives this weekend. The front will bring a better chance of rain and slightly cooler temperatures very late this weekend.

Light rain Wednesday: A fairly weak upper-level disturbance will bring the potential for some scattered showers over part of the ArkLaTex Tuesday and Wednesday night. The future broadcast shows that thunderstorms developing to our west Tuesday afternoon will weaken and dissipate mainly in the northern half of the region Tuesday night. More thunderstorms could develop to our west late Tuesday night and move into parts of the area on Wednesday. These will also weaken as we move through the region. We will then likely settle into a dry weather pattern on Thursday and Friday as we wait for the next cold front to arrive this weekend.

Hot days ahead: Temperatures across the ArkLaTex will likely remain above normal until the cold front arrives this weekend. Wednesday will start with lows mainly in the 60s. Daytime highs will likely return to the low to mid 90s for much of the area as any rain arrives very late in the day or during the evening. Expect low temperatures to gradually warm up through the rest of the week as they climb into the low 70s. Daytime highs will likely remain above normal in the lower to middle 90s through Saturday.

Heavy rain for many this weekend: Our next cold front will likely move through our area Saturday night and Sunday. This is when we will likely see the best chance for rain over the next 10 days to two weeks. Showers and thunderstorms will develop to our north on Saturday and move through our area during the latter half of the weekend. As of now, severe weather seems unlikely, but it can’t be completely ruled out. The chance of rain may persist in the southern half of the ArkLaTex through Monday. We will then settle into a dry weather pattern that may continue through most of the rest of next week.

Rainfall for 10 days: A look at a mix of models shows that the probability of precipitation over the next 10 days will be highest in the northern part of the ArkLaTex where rainfall totals of 1.5 to 2 inches will be possible. This is the part of the area that will be closest to the main support path of the upper level. Total precipitation in the southern half of the region will likely end in the 1/2 to 1″ range. We are still several days away from the arrival of this front, so changes in the forecast are still possible. Stay tuned!