Rain with a cold front to soak Houston. And here’s when it arrives
Although this week felt more like late summer than the last month of meteorological fall, a pattern change is just around the corner, promising to bring rain and cool temperatures to Houston. We still have time to enjoy the sunshine and warm weather before the next cold front arrives.
What do you think of Tuesday’s weather? If you like it, you’ll likely enjoy Wednesday. Like many other mornings this week, we have a chance for patchy areas of fog, especially near the coast. Any fog that forms should dissipate by 9 a.m
Morning temperatures in the upper 60s will likely have you checking the calendar to make sure it’s not June again somehow. By the afternoon, continued southerly winds will bring daytime highs into the mid 80s in most locations.
Skies over Houston on Wednesday will be mostly partly sunny, but we can’t rule out the chance of isolated showers. Humidity in the air flowing in from the Pacific Ocean is responsible for this small chance of spraying. Many forecast models have stuck with the idea of a flash shower Wednesday afternoon, but the odds are less than 10 percent.
This forecast map shows high temperatures in the Houston metro area on Wednesday. Temperatures in the area will rise into the lower to middle 80s.
WeatherbellCold front in Texas on Thursday
We will be watching closely for a cold front to approach by Thursday. Forecast models indicate that this front will take most of the day Thursday to reach Houston, meaning rain will likely hit or miss during the afternoon. Skies are expected to be mostly cloudy even if the day remains mostly dry. Increasing clouds will bring daytime temperatures several degrees lower than we’ve seen so far this week, with most locations reaching the upper 70s to lower 80s.
This map, which uses data from the North American Mesoscale Forecast System, indicates the possibility of scattered showers Thursday afternoon. More widespread or widespread rain is expected Thursday night into Friday.
WeatherbellIf you’re a night owl or someone who works the third shift, rain is probably more of an issue for you than for anyone else. Widespread rain and even thunderstorms will occur as a cold front pushes through the Houston area overnight Thursday into Friday morning. You will need an umbrella or coat if you have to be on the roads anytime between 6pm on Thursday and 6am on Friday.
A cold and wet weekend is possible
Your location may avoid rain on Thursday, but that won’t be the case by Friday. A cold front is supposed to move through the Houston metro area with rain Friday morning, making for an earlier and more stressful commute.
As the front slowly moves across Southeast Texas, rain chances north and west of Houston may taper off a bit Friday afternoon. For most of us, we’ll keep the risk of rain high with rumbles of thunder.
Will it rain 100% on Friday? No, but you’ll definitely want to keep rain gear handy. By the time Friday comes to a close, rainfall totals in Southeast Texas are expected to be between one and three inches, with areas south of Houston likely to fall on the wetter end of that rainfall range.
Follow the cooling process: The first sign of a late-week cold front can be found in Monday’s forecast
Admittedly, the forecast for this weekend will be a bit tough. A coastal system of low pressure is expected to make its way along the near-stationary cold front by Saturday.
How far does the front reach? Where does the depression develop and track? The answers to these questions will determine whether Houston will see a mostly dry weekend or an unsettled weekend of persistent rain.
Based on current forecast models, rain is likely to continue through Saturday and Sunday. As a cold front will be south and east of Houston over the coming weekend, rainy weather will likely occur between Interstate 10 and the coast.
Cold weather arrives Friday after the cold front passes, with temperatures dropping to near 70 Friday afternoon. Since Houston will find itself north of a cold front this weekend, daytime highs are expected to be around 65 degrees and lows around 55 degrees.
This chart shows the expected highs and lows from Wednesday through November 18. After a cold front passes at the end of the work week, daytime temperatures will not rise into the upper 60s this weekend.
Weatherbell
