Warm up late in the week
This morning, high pressure is heading eastward, opening our region to warm air and some scattered clouds.
The day gets off to a cool start with mostly clear skies and a few passing clouds. Temperatures mostly range between 20-25 degrees, with a few pockets dipping into the upper 10s.
There should be plenty of sunshine again today, although passing clouds will mix in throughout the day. There may be some short periods where it is more cloudy than sunny, but it will likely never become completely overcast.
With the high pressure center above, the winds will be almost calm today. Just cutting off the northerly flow the last few days will help add several degrees to the afternoon high. Most areas will peak in the low to mid 40s with a few eastern ridges near 40 degrees.
The sky will remain partly cloudy throughout the night. A southerly breeze will develop, helping to keep nighttime temperatures high. Overnight lows will be around 30 degrees in most areas, with highs in the 20s throughout Cortland, East and South Tompkins, Tioga and eastern Chemung counties.
Thursday It will be sunny in the morning and cloudy in the afternoon. A group of clouds will accumulate high in the atmosphere, making the sky overcast. Some limited sunlight may be able to sneak through these clouds at times.
Despite the decrease in sunshine, increased southerly winds will lead to higher temperatures. Wind speeds will range from 5-10 mph with afternoon highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s.
Wind speeds will increase to more than 10 mph Thursday evening and continue through the night. The cloudy weather is supposed to turn to partly cloudy skies after midnight. Overnight lows will drop to just the 35-40 degree range.
Friday The weather will be warmer with clouds, some sunshine and some scattered rain in the area. Highs are expected to reach the mid 50s in many areas.
Rain will be scattered and light. The weather will remain dry most of the time, and some areas will not see any rain at all.
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Reverse the cycle
Saturday There will be a better chance of showers as a cold front slowly moves into the area. The afternoon looks rainier than the morning.
The rain is still expected to be light and last for a relatively short period. All areas should see some rain, but no one will be drenched for a day on Saturday.
It will be a mild day with morning lows in the low to mid 40s and afternoon highs in the low 50s.
Temperatures will start to trend downward from there as winds shift to the west Saturday night. Low temperatures Sunday morning should return to the mid 30s and afternoon highs will be around 40 degrees.
Sunday It should be cloudy, and some rain or snow cannot be ruled out. Most areas will be dry most of the time.
Monday You may be able to get some sunshine between bursts of cloud cover. No rain is expected, with temperatures remaining near 40 degrees.
A low pressure system is expected to develop over the central Atlantic Ocean Tuesday, Lifting northeast toward New England. There is a slight chance this will turn into a moderate snow event for our area, but it will likely snow in the Southeast.
Regardless, this low will pull cooler air into the area with temperatures on Tuesday in the mid 30s at most.
Temperatures will drop slightly during the second half of next week and will remain in the 20s and 30s for the foreseeable future. While a random snowfall event is always possible when cold air is present, the general pattern favors continued dry weather through the second half of February and into March.
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This figure represents the average for the entire Finger Lakes region. Local variations should be expected.