The preliminary snow forecast map for next week’s winter storm has been released
A winter storm expected to impact the eastern United States early next week could dump 1 to 3 inches of snow in much of northern New Jersey and 3 to 6 inches in far northwestern parts of the Garden State, according to a snowfall forecast map. Snow released Friday morning. By AccuWeather.
However, don’t be surprised if the early snow forecast changes dramatically over the next few days. Forecasters stressed the difficulty of getting a good handle on the path, strength and timing of this storm — key factors that will determine how much snow, rain or mixed precipitation falls in New Jersey and other eastern states late Monday into Tuesday morning.
Forecasters from the National Weather Service say they are confident the low pressure system will move through the Tennessee Valley and head northeast into the West Virginia area, then “transfer its energy into a coastal depression near the Delmarva Peninsula before quickly heading out to sea.” “
“The exact path and strength of this low, and the cold air supply of freezing precipitation, will be key,” New Jersey’s chief weather office said Friday morning. “Some other factors to consider are the degree of construction along the East Coast ahead of Monday’s storm,” along with airflow at different levels of the atmosphere.
While they believe the coastal storm has the potential to quickly intensify before moving offshore, they don’t yet know when that process will occur and whether there will be enough time for cold air to drift inland. Cold air prefers snow to snow. rain.
The weather service says major computer guidance models continue to offer a wide range of scenarios — some calling for cold temperatures and heavy snow, others calling for moderate temperatures and minimal snow.
“Although we cannot completely rule out snowier outcomes, in our forecast we stand with the bulk of that milder guidance,” the Met Office said in its morning forecast discussion.
The weather service says the national mix of guidance models “increases the chance of more than 4 inches of snow to about 40 percent in northern New Jersey to the Poconos, with a roughly 30 percent chance of 2 inches of snow up the I-95 corridor from (Philadelphia) north.”
Although the timing has not yet been determined, the weather service says “rain should spread over the area sometime Monday, with a possible transition to snow later Monday night into early Tuesday.”
The Weather Service typically doesn’t release detailed snow forecast maps until three days after a storm, so it will likely release its first maps for this storm Friday night or early Saturday.
Current weather radar
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Lynn Melisurgo It can be reached at LMelisurgo@njadvancemedia.com Or on X in @LensReality.