The system may bring heavy rain to the East Coast.

The system may bring heavy rain to the East Coast.

The 2023 hurricane season has at least one storm for us, but forecasters aren’t sure yet how close it will hit the U.S.

That depends on how quickly the low-pressure area currently bringing showers and thunderstorms to the southwestern Caribbean Sea overtakes the dry air mass it’s suppressing, according to the National Hurricane Center. But conditions are right for the system to develop into a “full-blown tropical storm,” if not a “full-blown tropical storm,” AccuWeather meteorologists said, but something with tropical and non-tropical characteristics.

“A strong cold front moving eastward by the end of the week will likely catch the storm and quickly pull it northeast as it strengthens over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream off the East Coast,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said.

Forecasters expect heavy rain and gusty winds from the storm to hit the East Coast Friday through Sunday, but timing will determine how close the storm gets to the coast and how far inland it may or may not reach.

Meanwhile, most of Florida south of the Panhandle will see rain all week, with thunderstorms possible tonight in south and southwest Florida and flash flooding Wednesday and Thursday, according to the National Weather Service, thanks to a storm moving up the Gulf Coast. . There is a high risk of dangerous rip currents along the Atlantic Coast through Friday morning and potential coastal flooding at high tide with warnings in effect through Thursday on the East Coast. A High Surf Advisory is in effect from Northeast Florida south to south Brevard through Friday, with large breaking waves ranging from 4 to 9 feet in the surf zone.

In the Caribbean, this system could bring heavy rains to parts of the Caribbean coast of Central America and the Greater Antilles, leading to flash floods and dangerous mudslides.

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What’s out there and how likely are they to strengthen?

Low pressure area: A large area of ​​disorganized rain and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is associated with a broad trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear to be favorable for the development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter part of the week as it moves northeastward across the western and central parts of the Caribbean Sea.

Interests in Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, this system has the potential to produce heavy rains over parts of the Caribbean coast of Central America and the Greater Antilles until the end of this week.

  • Chance of formation within 48 hours: Low, 20 percent.
  • Chance of formation within seven days: High, 70 percent.

Who is likely to be affected?

There is currently nothing threatening Florida, according to the NHC.

Meteorologists urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and always be prepared.

Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida

When is hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean?

The hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean extends from June 1 to November 30.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Tropical forecast for the next seven days

Heavy rain forecast

What’s there?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.

What then?

We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local app to make sure you stay up to date with the news. And take a look at our special subscription offers here.

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