November 8, 2023 – Officials with the National Weather Service’s Hanford office have reposted the 6-10 day precipitation probability outlook issued earlier today by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.
This forecast depicts a 60 to 70 percent chance of above normal precipitation in Central California from Monday, November 13, 2023 through Friday, November 17, 2023.
Discuss the region’s expectations
National Weather Service Hanford California
1113 AM PT Wednesday, November 8, 2023
.summary…
Cool, dry conditions are expected over central California
A weekend where a modest pattern of high pressure builds
Indirect costs. A wet and active weather pattern is expected
Next week as the storm system approaches central California.
&&
.discussion…
Cold and dry days are expected to continue over the next few days
Days where a modest ridge of high pressure forms aloft. Little to no
Fog formed today due to mixing, but it is isolated fog
The potential exists as the air mass becomes more stagnant
The next few mornings. The hybrid model guidelines also call for
Frost forming for the next few mornings in the valley. afternoon
Highs trend up a few degrees over the weekend as well
To a moderate ridge pattern high up.
The weather pattern is changing rapidly as we head into next week.
Almost all model guidelines show a large storm system
It is approaching the California coast by Monday, as the system pushes through
East on Tuesday. Band and mass routing
Analysis increases confidence that this is the first
A major storm system for this year’s rainy season. falling
It is currently expected to start on Tuesday of next week, with the bulk
Rainfall is forecast for next Wednesday and Thursday.
CPC guidelines show a moderate risk – 40% probability – heavy
Snow and heavy rain on the Sierra Nevada and nearby hills
Next week, which is an impressive predictive signal for the long term
The event is still happening. This guidance is consistent with observed
IVT (Integrated Water Vapor Transport) forecast reaches the central region
California on November 15 and 16. Major uncertainty
Next week’s storm looks to be the breadth of the storm
system, which introduces some uncertainty about the QPF totals.
Regardless, the Model Directives continue to indicate the presence of…
A big change in the weather pattern next week, and there is
It is possible to see significant effects of snow and rain in the coming period
Event of the week.
&&
.airline…
The MVFR can be visualized with the possibility of seeing an isolated IFR in San
Joaquin Valley due to fog late tonight into Thursday morning.
&&
Air quality issues…
Issued: 07/11/2023 14:58
Expires: 11/08/2023 at 23:59
On Wednesday, November 8, 2023, the status of the fireplace/wood stove burning
IS: No burning unless registered in Fresno, Kern, and Madera
Counties. Disappointing burning at Kings, Merced, and Tulare
Counties, Kern (Greater Fraser Park Area) and Sequoia
National park and forest.
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.certainly…
The level of certainty for the first and second days is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 to 7 is moderate.
Levels of certainty include low, medium, and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
And/or provide feedback.
&&
HNX hours/warnings/advisories…
no one.
Source: NWS
