Timing our chance for rain and snow Monday night

Timing our chance for rain and snow Monday night

Sunday has been great for our forecast, with warmer than normal temperatures and plenty of sunshine, but there are big changes on the way.

A winter weather warning has already been issued ahead of the winter storm that will likely move into the Tri-State Monday night into Tuesday. The warnings go into effect at 7pm on Monday and will remain in effect until 7am on Tuesday for the following counties:
Ohio: Hamilton, Claremont, and Brown
Kentucky: Boone, Kenton, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Pendleton, Bracken, Robinson and Mason
Indiana: Ohio and Switzerland

There is a lot of uncertainty about this system and how it will be implemented. Let’s start with what we know. The start of the day will be sunny, but a few degrees cooler on Monday as we rise to only 48 degrees. As we move into the afternoon, clouds will accumulate in front of this system developing to the south. The center of the low pressure system will start in the southern Mississippi River Valley but will move northeast into southern Kentucky by the evening. As this happens, we will start to see rain showers move in. This will likely be during the afternoon and evening, and will rise overnight.

Overnight the rain will turn to snow. However, the big question will be the timing of the cold air as the system moves in and how much of that snow will stick around. The best chance for snow will likely lie in southeastern Indiana and southwestern Ohio. Mother Nature has blessed us with very warm air throughout the beginning of February and this works to our advantage in order to minimize the impact of snow. Ground temperatures are still in the low to mid 40s, which will make it difficult for snow to accumulate initially.

However, the problem is that the snow may fall at such a heavy pace in some areas that we could quickly see it start to stick or become sluggish in the early morning hours of Tuesday. Areas in the Winter Weather Advisory should expect a chance of 1 to 3 inches, with the possibility of seeing more locally.

Mostly clear
High: 49

Sunday night
partly cloudy
cooling down
Low: 34

Afternoon rain
Late snow
High: 48

Monday night
Rain changes to snow

Heavy sometimes

High: 29

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