Warm weather and chances of rain on Wednesday

Warm weather and chances of rain on Wednesday

Some clouds will fill the area with mostly sunny skies. Wednesday morning temperatures will start in the 40s and 50s. South winds return today but at lower speeds of 10 to 15 mph during the afternoon. Daytime highs will reach the mid 70s.

What are the chances of showers in Oklahoma on Wednesday, March 20?

A semi-warm frontal boundary will rise north on Wednesday and will be positioned along the OK-KS state line early Wednesday afternoon.

A weak low near eastern New Mexico Wednesday morning moves to near western OK Wednesday evening before sliding southeast across northern Texas early Thursday.

A surface area of ​​low pressure will likely develop later Wednesday across northwest Oklahoma with a dry line running north-south across the far western portions of the state.

This is an area that could see some strong storms later Wednesday afternoon and evening that could produce some nickel to quarter hail and some damaging wind gusts.

This activity will remain west of our immediate area. Some scattered showers and storms will develop near and north of the metro late this afternoon and early evening and should remain below severe levels.

What will the weather be like in Oklahoma on Thursday, March 21?

Later Wednesday into early Thursday, the surface low drops to the southeast along with a weakening upper level low. Some scattered showers and storms will be possible on Thursday with these features remaining close by.

Thursday forecast

Surface instability will be highest along the Red River south through Texas. We don’t expect severe weather Thursday across northeastern Oklahoma.

Thursday morning temperatures will start out in the 40s with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 60s, mostly due to cloud cover. Some areas may be locally cooler during the afternoon due to pockets of rain-cooled air. This system will leave the area later Thursday evening.

What will the weather be like this weekend in Oklahoma?

On Friday, the main upper level flow impacting the state will be from the northwest as a deep upper level trough develops across Hudson Bay via the Great Lakes.

Another surface cold front is expected to arrive late Friday afternoon with daytime highs reaching the upper 60s before falling Friday evening as northerly winds arrive.

We’ve made some adjustments to Saturday’s forecast as most (but not all) of the data supports another cold day with morning lows in the upper 30s and lower 40s followed by afternoon highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

Rainfall forecast 03/20/2024

Some spotty rain will be possible Saturday afternoon and early evening across far north Oakland and southern Kansas.

By the latter half of the weekend, a change in pattern occurs and will indicate the possibility of a stronger system approaching Sunday into Monday. The surface pressure gradient is expected to strengthen rapidly with southerly winds of 25 to 40 mph on Sunday.

Low and medium level humidity will return quickly. This process supports the indication of intermittent showering throughout the day, but overall coverage and density should remain low.

By Sunday afternoon and evening, a strong upper-level low across the southwestern desert will send a powerful lobe of energy across the base of the basin and move up and over the southern to central Plains. This will increase the chances of thunderstorms, including some signs of strong to severe storms.

What will the weather be like in Oklahoma next week?

A shallow cold front is also expected to develop with this system and move slowly through the region late Sunday night into the early part of Monday.

A surface wave (low pressure area) may also develop Monday morning across south-central OK. This could bring increased heaviness across the southeast quadrant of the state into northeast Texas Monday afternoon.

As a cold front passes through the area on Monday, cooler weather will likely follow with temperatures dropping into the upper 40s to 50s in the afternoon with strong northerly winds.

The main trough will remain in the upper level west of the region and bring cold air high over the state Monday night into Tuesday morning.

We will need to watch for some swirling moisture during this period as cold air arrives aloft. Temperatures Tuesday morning will drop to near freezing with afternoon highs remaining in the mid 50s.

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(Tags for translation)Oklahoma

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