Weather Blog: A winter storm warning tonight with heavy snow expected
FAYETTEVILLE, Arkansas (KNWA/KFTA) – A strong storm system will give us chances for heavy snow tonight and Monday morning. The National Meteorological Directorate issued a Winter storm warning For parts of the forecast area. a Heavy, wet snow It is expected to develop tonight with Some areas will likely receive more than 4 inches of snow. The timing of the snowfall will cause impacts to Monday morning’s commute.
Here’s a look at a surface analysis at 5:30 PM showing a strong surface low south of us. Severe weather continued in Mississippi, with snow falling in parts of Texas and Oklahoma. This low will rise towards the northeast as we remain throughout the evening and night. As it rises, we expect Wrap around snow On the back side of the bottom tonight through Monday morning.
Below is a future track showing rain turning to snow tonight. Chances of rain will increase this evening until midnight. Some sleet may mix in just after midnight before turning to heavy, wet snow. It appears the best chance for snow will be in the 5:00 a.m. to 9:00 a.m. time frame. This will make Monday morning risky relief For some. This is especially true of northwest Arkansas. Don’t be surprised if you hear some thunder noises. thundersnow Possible with this event. The chance of snow will continue until late morning. The rain will end early Monday afternoon. Blackouts They also pose a noteworthy threat. The snow will not be a light, fluffy snow like we saw earlier this year. It will be heavy, wet snow. This can overwhelm tree limbs and power lines.
Predicting snowfall accumulations is difficult with this system, because there’s really no cold air around. We rely on dynamic cooling to bring temperatures below freezing. So there will be a lot of melting and compression with this event. The models below do not take these factors into account.
I think the snowfall amounts mentioned above are exaggerated. Here are the NWS’ snow totals.
Snow will not continue to fall on the ground for long, as temperatures will rise to above freezing on Monday. This snow is perfect for making snowballs and snowmen. So, I would like to have fun early. Home to home travel will be much better, but there may be some muddy areas especially in the higher terrain areas of Northwest Arkansas. Any remaining moisture will freeze again Monday night as temperatures drop into the 20s as skies clear. Any impacts will wear off quickly Tuesday afternoon with some temperatures reaching the 60s.
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