Weather forecasts show a system developing off the Carolina coast
(WGHP) – We start our work week with some very pleasant weather.
A high pressure system will bring dry weather and seasonal temperatures, with a slight warming trend, through Thursday.
What’s coming this weekend?
While our work week is looking great weather-wise, we could see our weather taking a nearly 180-degree turn with rain chances and cold temperatures heading into the weekend.
The reason for the pattern change is that a non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop off the coast of Florida and Georgia on Friday.
But there are still some questions about how our weekend weather will shape up due to the uncertainty in the movement of the low after its formation.
What could It is happening?
There is a possibility that a low pressure system will move into North Carolina on Saturday or remain stationary through Sunday.
There is also a slight possibility that the low pressure system developing off the southeast coast will develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics by the end of this week.
This system will bring the next chance for rain and breezy conditions, but how much and where it will fall is still uncertain. The most likely time is Friday night to Saturday night.
What do the models say?
Let’s take a look at how two major long-term patterns will fare this weekend.
The European model shows the low pressure system slightly closer to the North Carolina coast Friday night than the US model places the low off the South Carolina coast.
The US model also shows rain chances reaching inland Friday night better than the European model. This shows some discrepancies between what might happen in terms of rain over the weekend.
Either way, there is a possibility of increased rain chances late Friday night into Saturday morning.
By 10 a.m. Saturday, the two different models show a remaining low either off the coast of North Carolina or South Carolina with rain chances extending slightly inland compared to Friday night.
Looking at the data from Saturday morning, the chances look a little higher and the models are more closely aligned with rainfall Saturday morning from the Triad to eastern North Carolina with better rain chances along the coast.
From what the data is showing, it looks like the heavy rains along with the low pressure system will stay to our east near the coast. This is also reflected in the total rainfall expected over the next seven days.
How much rain can we get?
Depending on the path of the low pressure system, we could see more or less rain, however, overall, it looks like the eastern half of the Piedmont Triad will receive more rain this weekend.
Data shows that the mountains and foothills receive less than a half-inch of rain.
What do the temperatures look like?
Cloud cover and increasing precipitation from our weekend system will likely keep temperatures cooler from Friday through the weekend.
Normal temperatures for the second to last weekend of September are in the upper 70s and we will generally be in the low to mid 70s this weekend.
Saturday appears to be the coldest day due to higher chances of rain and increased cloud cover compared to the other three days.