Weather Service: Strong storms possible for southeast Alabama today

From James Spahn and the ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

Radar Check: Fortunately, no severe thunderstorms appeared in Alabama overnight, and there were no watches or warnings in place. Only wind and rain. Winds gusted to 40 mph in areas where widespread rain blanketed the state.

The rain will end from the northwest this morning, and the winds will gradually calm down. There will be a low risk of severe thunderstorms late today, across southeast Alabama. SPC maintains a “Slight Risk” (Level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms today mainly in areas of Montgomery to the south and east.

The main window of strong to severe thunderstorms in this part of Alabama will come from around 10:00 AM to 5:00 PM and the main threat will come from gusty straight line winds. A brief, isolated occurrence cannot be ruled out, but is unlikely. Additional rain amounts of about an inch are likely over southern counties today, and all of the rain will be out of the state by the evening hours.

Temperatures will remain fairly mild today with most locations seeing highs between 67-71 degrees. Few periods of sun are possible in the northern counties.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: An upper low will swing across north Alabama early tomorrow with clouds and maybe a sprinkle or two, but nothing meaningful. Skies will become mostly sunny tomorrow afternoon, and the day will be cooler with highs between 55 and 65 degrees. Then, on Thanksgiving Day, skies will be mostly sunny with highs in the 50s in northern counties of the state, and low to mid-60s in southern Alabama. The low Thursday morning will be in the 30s for most communities.

FRIDAY AND WEEKEND: A weak low in the northern Gulf could bring some scattered light rain to two-thirds of southern Alabama Thursday night into Friday morning, but with limited rain amounts moisture will be very light and spotty in many places and you won’t see a drop. The sky on Friday will be mostly cloudy, with the maximum temperature around 60 degrees.

After that, expect a cool, dry weekend with partly sunny skies on both days. Highs will be in the 58-63 degree range, with lows in the upper 30s and low 40s.

Next week: Right now, the first half of the week looks dry; Some rain may move into the state on Thursday and Friday as another low passes through the northern Gulf of Mexico.

IRON BOWL: The weather looks good for the Iron Bowl on Saturday (Alabama at Auburn; kickoff at 2:30 p.m. CT). Skies will be partly sunny with temperatures dropping from around 62 degrees at kickoff to the 50s by the fourth quarter. There is no risk of rain.

Tropics: NHC monitors disturbances in the Caribbean; It has only a 10 percent chance of developing over the next seven days as it drifts west. In the central Atlantic, an area of ​​low pressure is expected to develop along the frontal boundary over the central subtropical Atlantic later today. This non-tropical low is expected to move southeastward across the subtropical central Atlantic above warmer sea surface temperatures over the next few days, and environmental conditions appear favorable for this system to gradually acquire tropical characteristics. A subtropical or tropical storm could develop by the latter part of this week, as the system continues to move eastward followed by a turn toward the northeast by the end of the week.

This feature has a 50% chance of developing within the next seven days, but it will remain far from Earth. Hurricane season ends in nine days.