Weekend weather: Mostly dry; A chance of showers Saturday in northeastern Minnesota

Most of northwestern Minnesota and parts of west-central and north-central Minnesota will see rain at times Thursday afternoon, with some thunderstorms possible.

Coverage of rain and scattered thunderstorms expands across the rest of Minnesota and parts of western Wisconsin Thursday evening and Thursday night.

Lengthy rain is possible Friday morning in the Twin Cities metro area, southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

The weekend looks mainly dry

Saturday and Sunday look rain-free for much of Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

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Northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin could see some scattered showers on Saturday. NOAA’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the likely rain pattern from 4am Saturday to 7pm Saturday:

Radar simulation 4am Saturday to 7pm Saturday

Noah, via Tropicaltidbits.com

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News Network. Also check out View MPR news for the National Weather Service radar.

Temperatures on the weekend

The average high temperature in the Twin Cities is 73 degrees on September 16. Highs in the metro area are expected to reach below 70 degrees on Saturday.

High temperatures Saturday afternoon will also be in the lower 70s across southern Minnesota and west-central Wisconsin:

rt0916h12

Highest levels expected on Saturday

National Weather Service

Northern Minnesota will see a lot of 60s.

Highs Sunday reach the lower 70s in the Red River Valley and much of central and southern Minnesota:

    rt0917h12

Highest levels expected on Sunday

National Weather Service

Drought covers almost all of Minnesota now

Our drought continues. The latest U.S. Drought Monitor shows that 98.58 percent of Minnesota is in drought:

Drought 09-14

Latest drought watch for Minnesota

National Center for Drought Mitigation

This is an increase of 13.51 percent from last week’s 85.07 percent drought coverage in Minnesota.

There are some areas experiencing exceptional drought (shaded in dark red). One of these areas is from eastern Aitkin County to Carlton County and another exceptionally dry area extends from eastern Freeborn County to parts of Moore County.

Areas shaded in medium red are experiencing severe drought. Areas shaded orange (including most of the Twin Cities metro area) are experiencing severe drought.

In the table included with the map, the box below each color includes statistics for the drought category as well as statistics for areas experiencing worse drought conditions. For example, the box under orange includes the percentage of Minnesota that is in extreme drought as well as the percentages of areas that are in extreme and exceptional drought.

I’ve broken down Minnesota’s percentages for each drought category:

  • 1.4 percent in exceptional drought

  • 17.81 percent in severe drought

  • 42.32 percent in severe drought

  • 37.05 percent in moderate drought

  • 1.42% Abnormally dry (but not dry)

The precipitation data deadline for the weekly drought report is 7 a.m. Tuesday.

Programming note

You can hear live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35am, 9:35am and 4:39pm every Saturday and Sunday.

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